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Trump up 7% over Biden, 51% over DeSantis


According to the latest The Messenger/HarrisX survey, former President Donald Trump maintains a substantial lead over President Joe Biden, even in the hypothetical scenario of independent candidates Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. entering the race.


In a head-to-head matchup, Trump secured 47% of the support, while Biden trailed with 40%, leaving 13% of respondents undecided. When the undecided voters were pressed to make a choice, Trump's lead slightly decreased to 7%, as he garnered 53% compared to Biden's 47%.


In a four-way race, Trump maintained his lead with 7%, securing 40% of the support, while Biden trailed with 33%. Kennedy garnered 14% of the support, West accumulated 2%, and 11% of respondents remained unsure. Once the undecided voters made their preferences known, the margin decreased to 6%: Trump received 43%, Biden garnered 37%, Kennedy secured 16%, and West received 4% support.


Notably, Trump's lead in the Republican primary was even more significant, with a staggering 62% of Republicans backing him for the party nomination. His closest contender, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, garnered 11% support. Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley secured 10%, while entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie earned 4% and 2% respectively.


The survey, conducted from November 15th to 19th, included a total of 3,017 registered voters, among whom 1,100 identified as Republicans. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 1.8%.

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