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U.S. debt will reach nearly double the size of the economy within the next 30 years

The federal government is currently borrowing an average of $5.3 billion per day during this fiscal year, as estimated by the U.S. Congressional Budget Office on Tuesday. This new estimate comes shortly after a major international creditor downgraded the U.S. credit rating, raising concerns about the nation's debt-to-GDP ratio.

According to the latest forecast from the Congressional Budget Office, the federal budget deficit for the first 10 months of fiscal year 2023 amounted to $1.6 trillion, which is more than twice the shortfall observed during the same period last year. This significant increase in the deficit can be attributed to lower revenues and higher outlays between October and July compared to the corresponding period in fiscal year 2022.

Fitch, one of the top three rating agencies worldwide, expressed worry regarding the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio and consequently downgraded the U.S. credit rating from a perfect AAA to AA+. This development has prompted discussions on the long-term implications of the country's debt, with CBO projecting that the U.S. debt will reach nearly double the size of the economy within the next 30 years.

Despite the pandemic being over and the economy displaying steady growth, the deficit for this year and the next is projected to be 50 percent larger than before the pandemic, prompting concerns from experts.

CBO data also indicate that interest payments on the national debt are on track to become the largest expense for the U.S. government. Fitch referenced the soaring spending over the past decade, repeated near-shutdown events, and failure to address major financial challenges like entitlement spending as reasons for the downgrade.

Experts have been sounding the alarm about the escalating federal debt for years. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) has released reports indicating that the trust funds for Social Security, Medicare, and highways face insolvency within the next decade. Although the situation remains largely unchanged for now, it is imperative to find sustainable solutions to address the growing concerns.

By delving deeper into the intricate details and consequences of the federal government's borrowing and credit rating downgrade, we gain a more comprehensive understanding of the challenges at hand. It is essential for policymakers and citizens alike to engage in constructive discussions to ensure the financial stability and prosperity of the nation in the years to come.

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